Topic
prediction markets
Everything our editor has picked under this tag, best first.
elections Why Prediction Markets Work Best With Binary Outcomes
Prediction markets work best for binary events such as elections, while S&P 500 bets are better expressed through direct trading of the underlying…
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expected value How Andrew Checks If a Trade Still Works When He's Wrong
Andrew Courtney stress-tests prediction market trades by assuming his model is wrong and recalculating expected value after fees and spread.
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gambling Prediction Markets Need to Be More Than Just Gambling
Prediction markets can provide news context and insurance-style risk transfer rather than just a venue for quick-money gambling.
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